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Obi Says He Would Keep The Naira Float, And That Is A Real Concession

Geo-Political News

Peter Obi has said he would retain President Tinubu's floating naira policy if elected in 2027, while describing the previous fuel subsidy regime as corrupted. He was speaking to Arise TV.

Thirteen outlets carried it. Almost all of them framed it as a concession, and they are right to.

currency exchange board rates
currency exchange board rates Photograph by Jason Leung via Unsplash.

What the float actually did

BeforeAfter
An official rate set administrativelyA market-determined rate
Access rationed by allocationAccess by price
A large parallel-market gapA much smaller gap

The gap between the two rates was where the rent lived.

The multiple-rate system created a guaranteed profit for anyone able to buy at the official rate and sell at the parallel one. That was not a side effect. It was the predictable consequence of running two prices for the same dollar, and it is why the float has defenders who are otherwise fierce critics of this government.

Why the concession is worth something

Nigerian campaigns usually run on total reversal: everything the incumbent did was wrong, and all of it will be undone. That produces manifestos nobody can cost and transitions that waste a year unpicking things.

A candidate who names one policy he would keep is telling you he has read the file. It is a low bar and it is not often cleared.

The part he has not answered

The float lowered the rent and raised the cost of living. Import-dependent prices moved with the currency, and most Nigerian household staples have an import component somewhere in the chain. Retaining the policy means retaining that consequence.

The question to put to him. Not whether he would keep the float, which he has answered, but what he would do about the household cost that came with it. That is where the actual difference between candidates would show up.

Reading it against the rest of the field

Adewole Adebayo has promised petrol at 200 naira a litre within twelve months, against a current Abuja pump price above 1,299. Obi has gone the other way and defended a policy the government he wants to replace introduced. Those are two genuinely different theories of what a campaign is for.

Reporting: Arise News, Business News Nigeria, Arbiterz and Blueprint Newspapers.

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